数控机床与基础制造装备领域技术预测若干问题

探析

【摘要】：通过借鉴国内外技术预测发展经验，结合数控

机床和基础制造装备领域的特点，选择适合的以德尔菲为

主的技术预测方法，构建数控机床与基础制造装备领域技

术预测模型，并对技术预测过程中备选技术清单、调查指

标体系、调查结果统计等重点问题进行分析。

【关键词】：数控机床；基础制造装备；技术预测；德尔菲

Analysis in Issues of CNC Machine Tools and Basic

Manufacturing Equipments

Abstract:Base upon the experience of technology forecasting in

domestic and abroad,combined with the characteristics of CNC

machinetools and basic manufacturing equipments,the paper

select Delphi survey as the main method,construction model of

technology forecastingin CNC machine tools and basic

manufacturing equipments,then analysis in list of candidate

technologies,survey Index System,statisticalfindings and other

key issues in the process of technology forecasting.

Key words:CNC machine tools ； basic manufacturing

equipments；technology forecasting；delphi

0 引言