Robert Solow argued that on average with no change in technology a 1 percent increase in capital per hour of
labor brings a one-third of 1 percent increase in read GDP per hour of labor.
Growth accounting tells us that to achieve faster growth (i.e. productivity speedup) we must either increase
the growth rate of capital per hour of labor or increase the pace of technological advance (which includes
improving human capital). The primary methods to achieve this are:
o
Stimulate saving— saving creates investment which brings about capital accumulation. So
stimulating saving can bring about economic growth.
o
Stimulate R&D— everyone benefits from the creation of basic research.
o
Target high technology industries— some argue that by using public funds to fund tech you can
earn above average returns as others catch up.
o
Encourage international trade— trade extracts the gains from specialization and trade. The fastest
growing nations today are the ones with the fastest growing imports and exports.
o
Improve the quality of education
Productivity slowdown occurs when technology is used to deal with issues outside of increasing productivity.
For example, energy shocks cause R&D dollars to be used for increasing fuel efficiency rather than improving
productivity.
LOS e: Discuss the ways in which faster economic growth can be achieved by increasing the growth of physical
capital, technological advance, and investment in human capital.
Saving and investment in new capital increase labor productivity by increasing the level of capital per worker.
Investment in human capital is the investment in people’s skills and knowledge, and is a key driver of economic
growth. Both productivity improvements and technological advances derive from human capital.
The discovery of new technologies contributes to sustained economic growth by making human capital and physical
capital more productive. Research and development is the primary driver of the discovery of new technologies. While
the most widespread and powerful technologies represent developments in human capital, most technological progress
involves improvements in the productivity of physical capital.
LOS F: Compare and contrast the classical growth theory, the neoclassical growth theory, and the new
growth theory.
Classical growth theory is the view that real GDP growth is temporary and that when real GDP rises above a
subsistence level, a population explosion eventually brings real GDP back to the subsistence level.
Classical economists often used the idea of a subsistence real wage rate which is the
minimum real wage rate needed to maintain life. In classical theory, if the real wage late rose
above this level a population explosion ensued. But eventually you had diminishing returns to
labor so labor productivity fell. Eventually wages fell back to the subsistence level.
In this theory, a growing population means that labor hours grow so capital per hour of labor falls. As this
occurs, there is a movement backwards on the productivity curve to the subsistence wage rate.